I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–12 on winners spread MAE 8.9 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Penn State -14.0 156.3 15% 74–72 ✓
Duke @ Louisville +2.3 157.9 54% 84–73 ✗
Georgia @ Florida +2.9 168.7 57% 77–92 ✓
Cincinnati @ West Virginia +2.8 132.9 63% 60–62 ✓
St. John's @ Butler +2.8 152.4 61% 84–70 ✗
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech +1.0 140.1 55% 82–72 ✗
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +15.1 155.3 88% 76–87 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State -4.6 131.5 28% 74–52 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +20.1 156.4 91% 69–82 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kent State -0.4 152.2 51% 93–96 ✗
South Carolina @ LSU +11.9 149.0 85% 78–68 ✗
Iowa @ Minnesota -6.1 130.5 22% 67–70 ✗
UCF @ Oklahoma State +0.4 162.0 52% 76–87 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +1.9 148.3 61% 72–79 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul +4.3 142.7 68% 50–56 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -4.9 148.1 33% 75–61 ✓
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville -0.7 139.5 48% 62–66 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +4.1 143.9 67% 65–69 ✓
Texas @ Tennessee +11.7 151.9 84% 71–85 ✓
TCU @ Kansas +9.0 135.8 79% 100–104 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +1.4 139.5 53% 80–70 ✗
UCLA @ Wisconsin +2.2 147.4 60% 72–80 ✓
NC State @ Boston College -11.7 136.8 16% 79–71 ✓
Utah State @ Air Force -15.7 133.9 13% 99–62 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +5.4 169.6 68% 90–88 ✗
UNLV @ Wyoming +10.1 149.0 84% 66–98 ✓
Fresno State @ San José State +1.3 141.3 57% 70–55 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +3.7 146.0 69% 73–68 ✗
Furman @ Chattanooga -4.3 141.1 29% 78–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +1.3 132.6 56% 58–66 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +5.6 145.2 72% 84–76 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +6.8 145.8 78% 85–97 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland -10.1 145.5 17% 84–66 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +4.0 142.9 64% 61–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +3.2 157.5 66% 77–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.