Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–8 on winners spread MAE 8.0 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +7.1 130.1 77% 68–78 ✓
TCU @ West Virginia +2.4 146.7 60% 65–74 ✓
Auburn @ LSU -3.7 135.7 35% 67–49 ✓
Cincinnati @ South Florida -2.3 142.0 40% 85–69 ✓
East Carolina @ Temple +4.7 137.9 73% 58–73 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -10.0 144.3 16% 77–71 ✓
Lafayette @ American University +4.2 131.5 67% 70–59 ✗
Bradley @ Indiana State +0.8 137.3 56% 78–67 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Louisville -12.7 140.1 14% 75–54 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +2.1 141.8 61% 45–63 ✓
Ohio State @ Nebraska -3.5 136.1 39% 60–63 ✗
Florida @ Texas A&M +3.0 141.2 66% 52–54 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago -8.2 147.0 22% 76–59 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +0.0 142.2 50% 56–65 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate +5.2 137.8 71% 60–61 ✓
Winthrop @ High Point +1.7 151.9 61% 66–71 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +5.7 131.6 75% 59–64 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern -0.0 148.1 45% 73–63 ✓
Radford @ Campbell -2.5 132.7 40% 63–55 ✓
Wofford @ Western Carolina +1.0 140.6 56% 71–76 ✓
Samford @ East Tennessee State -4.1 140.3 30% 69–59 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +3.0 156.5 67% 77–69 ✗
SMU @ Tulsa -1.7 146.8 45% 79–76 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +4.9 134.8 71% 63–65 ✓
Missouri State @ Drake +5.7 129.9 74% 65–62 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +12.2 145.1 88% 54–84 ✓
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas +0.2 156.9 53% 78–73 ✗
Xavier @ DePaul -7.5 157.4 19% 72–73 ✗
Providence @ Marquette +5.2 155.6 72% 75–83 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri +1.7 154.0 59% 76–79 ✓
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +2.0 129.7 60% 56–72 ✓
Utah Tech @ Grand Canyon +9.8 140.3 84% 85–89 ✓
Oregon @ California -6.7 133.7 25% 87–58 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State -3.4 146.8 39% 82–76 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State -0.2 127.7 49% 57–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.