Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 7.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -1.9 138.0 40% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +5.2 141.0 75% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +5.5 140.9 74% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +8.3 151.0 77% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +5.0 133.7 66% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +5.3 151.5 75% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -1.2 132.1 43% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +2.8 135.5 68% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +2.8 143.1 62% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.9 146.7 77% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +6.3 148.9 65% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +15.7 143.2 88% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -2.2 143.0 39% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -2.2 145.0 40% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +10.4 158.2 84% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -5.4 137.8 30% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +5.0 151.5 74% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +13.1 158.4 87% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +0.5 140.9 61% 69–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -0.7 142.0 51% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -4.2 149.6 38% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +1.0 147.5 62% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -0.2 142.4 57% 85–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +4.1 140.7 70% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +6.1 151.7 76% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -2.1 149.9 43% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +3.0 128.8 64% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +15.7 155.9 89% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +8.8 157.3 83% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.3 146.0 72% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +13.8 156.8 87% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.3 135.4 51% 61–67 ✗
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +1.7 139.7 61% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +8.3 138.5 82% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +3.9 157.3 68% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -1.7 129.3 43% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +10.0 141.7 85% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +20.2 149.1 91% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +5.3 145.1 77% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +14.4 146.8 88% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +10.4 158.1 83% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +2.2 143.8 62% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +9.3 128.1 84% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.