Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–14 on winners spread MAE 7.5 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +2.6 150.7 64% 81–84 ✓
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +6.8 133.8 73% 63–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +3.6 153.5 61% 96–87 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +3.8 142.2 63% 62–71 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.8 147.6 36% 70–80 ✗
Rutgers @ UCLA +11.8 142.6 85% 59–72 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central -2.4 132.0 38% 76–83 ✗
Clemson @ North Carolina +3.8 135.4 70% 80–79 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +8.0 141.9 82% 78–64 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas -1.3 134.1 42% 70–74 ✗
TCU @ Kansas +4.7 140.3 70% 73–78 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +3.0 157.7 67% 83–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech +3.6 141.6 68% 74–80 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -0.4 152.6 47% 70–82 ✗
San José State @ New Mexico +14.3 149.5 88% 77–93 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Louis +8.7 154.4 83% 81–88 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +12.4 153.9 87% 67–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech +1.0 135.1 59% 66–69 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida +10.9 156.1 83% 63–71 ✓
Charlotte @ UAB +4.5 143.6 74% 83–78 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -0.4 140.1 40% 74–55 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +6.7 139.6 77% 63–68 ✓
Wisconsin @ Illinois +8.8 157.0 78% 91–88 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston +4.4 157.1 72% 79–73 ✗
North Texas @ Tulsa +10.1 137.5 81% 84–90 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt +0.2 148.4 55% 68–75 ✓
Massachusetts @ Toledo +3.6 154.8 68% 67–77 ✓
Duquesne @ VCU +9.7 147.7 85% 66–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +9.9 131.9 84% 68–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +16.0 142.2 90% 61–78 ✓
Purdue @ Nebraska +1.3 143.3 59% 74–58 ✗
Iowa State @ Arizona +5.4 140.5 67% 80–82 ✓
Miami @ Virginia +4.0 145.2 68% 62–84 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +11.2 161.2 85% 80–79 ✗
Kent State @ Akron +8.4 159.1 83% 68–75 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -0.3 130.3 59% 58–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.