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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–7 on winners spread MAE 7.7 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ UConn +12.7 137.2 87% 51–67 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -1.2 140.9 43% 73–70 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +6.8 138.2 75% 88–84 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +6.9 131.3 77% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +5.6 147.5 71% 78–93 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +2.4 132.2 69% 53–59 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +5.5 147.4 72% 66–79 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +15.1 135.3 88% 61–73 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +4.5 134.5 75% 47–69 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +8.2 161.8 75% 79–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +5.8 139.2 72% 72–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +4.2 149.2 67% 63–78 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State -0.1 149.2 45% 62–64 ✗
Cornell @ Yale +9.3 155.4 79% 76–88 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +4.9 138.5 66% 59–74 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +13.0 156.5 85% 65–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +6.4 161.3 72% 91–74 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +6.9 141.8 75% 70–69 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +12.6 139.5 86% 63–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +0.3 132.1 47% 62–60 ✗
Charlotte @ South Florida +11.9 149.6 87% 64–86 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +9.9 154.9 78% 90–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -2.7 143.8 46% 73–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +8.2 140.6 81% 64–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State -0.1 148.9 40% 68–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.6 146.9 63% 62–73 ✓
Houston @ Arizona +6.0 137.1 71% 74–79 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +2.8 136.6 61% 52–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +1.8 149.9 47% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.