Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–11 on winners spread MAE 10.2 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona @ UConn +9.0 150.0 74% 71–67 ✗
Chattanooga @ South Carolina State +0.4 142.0 33% 78–66 ✗
South Alabama @ Jacksonville State +7.0 137.4 74% 71–65 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Ohio +4.3 157.2 67% 76–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Indiana State +11.2 133.3 79% 51–60 ✓
Hofstra @ Temple +7.9 149.2 71% 76–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ South Carolina Upstate +8.0 133.9 73% 88–84 ✗
Howard @ Stetson +3.8 141.4 41% 60–64 ✓
North Florida @ Wofford +11.9 149.4 86% 78–86 ✓
William & Mary @ Bowling Green +21.4 151.8 89% 82–74 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Samford +8.3 157.7 80% 77–62 ✗
Youngstown State @ Toledo +0.5 152.6 52% 75–92 ✓
Valparaiso @ Cleveland State +4.3 146.1 66% 90–75 ✗
Villanova @ La Salle -2.7 145.1 38% 70–55 ✓
Bryant @ Virginia Tech +29.4 147.4 91% 61–78 ✓
Bellarmine @ Notre Dame +30.7 149.7 91% 79–86 ✓
VMI @ Richmond +13.1 151.4 84% 54–87 ✓
UMBC @ George Washington +19.7 148.8 86% 52–89 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Duquesne +10.7 147.9 79% 78–92 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Maryland +14.3 134.6 86% 90–95 ✓
Wyoming @ Sam Houston -3.0 152.8 39% 70–78 ✗
Maine @ Merrimack +5.4 130.2 58% 65–72 ✓
Dayton @ Marquette +6.0 148.9 68% 77–71 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina +1.1 143.4 48% 73–80 ✓
UC Irvine @ Utah Valley +4.3 145.9 60% 72–79 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bradley +21.9 144.4 91% 77–87 ✓
North Dakota @ Creighton +22.0 149.8 89% 60–75 ✓
South Florida @ Oklahoma State +4.3 156.7 61% 95–103 ✓
Kansas City @ TCU +18.3 147.9 89% 45–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont +21.5 145.8 89% 68–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Auburn +33.8 152.4 91% 66–112 ✓
Alabama @ Illinois +8.0 159.0 76% 90–86 ✗
Arkansas State @ Saint Mary's +20.4 148.5 88% 72–85 ✓
Campbell @ Weber State +5.1 151.4 71% 85–91 ✓
Southern Utah @ Washington State +12.5 152.6 87% 74–98 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Incarnate Word +9.1 135.6 71% 81–87 ✓
High Point @ UIC -3.2 147.2 34% 90–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Marshall +18.6 154.2 90% 70–98 ✓
Memphis @ Purdue +12.5 149.3 82% 71–80 ✓
Lindenwood @ Indiana +35.2 153.3 91% 53–73 ✓
Robert Morris @ St. Bonaventure +12.0 150.8 85% 61–75 ✓
Brown @ Stony Brook +14.1 140.8 83% 70–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.