In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–7 on winners spread MAE 7.3 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Florida +12.5 154.4 87% 75–86 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa -4.0 153.8 31% 90–81 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss +2.2 155.6 57% 84–98 ✓
Wichita State @ Charlotte -2.3 144.9 39% 66–58 ✓
Notre Dame @ Florida State +3.7 142.9 68% 60–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts +0.6 147.4 51% 73–71 ✗
La Salle @ VCU +16.3 140.7 88% 66–96 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +8.0 144.1 79% 63–69 ✓
Drake @ Murray State -4.5 131.6 25% 55–45 ✓
Minnesota @ Penn State +9.1 143.7 78% 69–61 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +8.4 147.5 82% 69–94 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +5.8 145.9 70% 77–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan +0.0 146.6 51% 76–70 ✗
Buffalo @ Toledo +11.5 159.3 88% 74–87 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +13.2 155.0 87% 73–81 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Houston +22.7 136.1 91% 63–72 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -8.7 138.9 22% 71–67 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +6.9 138.0 77% 69–74 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +7.2 133.2 75% 41–66 ✓
Oklahoma @ Auburn +13.7 156.0 87% 70–98 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech +6.5 144.4 79% 59–73 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +11.2 152.8 84% 64–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +12.5 141.5 86% 89–86 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Loyola Chicago -1.9 133.2 45% 53–77 ✗
Nevada @ Air Force -12.4 134.6 15% 74–60 ✓
USC @ Northwestern +3.4 144.4 67% 75–77 ✓
Michigan State @ UCLA +2.6 143.6 68% 61–63 ✓
Kansas State @ Arizona State +5.2 138.2 70% 71–70 ✗
San José State @ Fresno State -3.0 146.6 38% 94–91 ✓
Arizona @ BYU +0.8 156.6 61% 85–74 ✗
Boise State @ UNLV -3.1 140.4 39% 71–62 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +2.7 141.1 62% 65–68 ✓
East Tennessee State @ VMI -3.3 138.6 39% 62–55 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan +7.0 150.1 77% 76–80 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall -5.8 136.3 25% 84–54 ✓
Southern Miss @ App State +8.5 133.2 77% 58–60 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -8.1 151.3 20% 84–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.