I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–9 on winners spread MAE 9.1 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Pittsburgh +12.2 137.5 84% 73–57 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State +11.0 148.6 86% 78–81 ✓
Alabama State @ Florida A&M +0.2 143.6 52% 67–66 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +11.7 148.6 88% 75–89 ✓
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +16.0 142.6 88% 65–67 ✓
Lamar @ SE Louisiana +2.4 135.0 62% 79–81 ✓
Jackson State @ Southern +7.3 136.8 80% 89–91 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State +0.5 140.0 51% 63–79 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -7.2 140.7 25% 78–66 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans -2.2 135.5 35% 88–85 ✓
Houston Christian @ Nicholls +5.2 138.2 73% 67–75 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +0.1 152.9 52% 89–66 ✗
Morgan State @ Delaware State +5.7 154.9 72% 82–84 ✓
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.0 135.7 57% 62–57 ✗
Charleston @ William & Mary -1.3 159.0 41% 75–90 ✗
Iowa State @ Kansas +3.1 151.0 71% 52–69 ✓
Alcorn State @ Grambling +2.0 130.4 51% 60–53 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Weber State -0.4 142.5 48% 73–77 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State -0.6 148.3 45% 86–72 ✓
North Texas @ UAB -2.4 137.2 34% 61–64 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's +4.2 140.6 71% 64–70 ✓
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -10.2 150.2 20% 68–69 ✗
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan -4.3 136.4 32% 70–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.