This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–11 on winners spread MAE 9.8 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona @ Tennessee +1.7 152.5 57% 73–77 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Canisius -3.8 142.2 36% 90–97 ✗
Sam Houston @ North Carolina Central +0.6 139.8 55% 68–51 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Chattanooga +10.0 148.4 80% 65–77 ✓
Robert Morris @ Saint Francis +11.5 153.9 71% 75–67 ✗
Charleston @ Old Dominion +1.6 144.0 56% 82–80 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Indiana +19.7 140.9 89% 61–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Wichita State +17.4 147.4 88% 66–102 ✓
North Alabama @ UCF +17.0 133.4 87% 64–75 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Georgia +2.7 141.6 59% 86–84 ✗
Clemson @ Virginia +2.8 132.5 58% 67–50 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Marist +11.9 137.8 87% 45–68 ✓
Hofstra @ Monmouth +8.4 149.9 78% 77–71 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ UAB +34.4 151.7 91% 58–100 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Nebraska +3.9 155.0 64% 74–88 ✓
Texas State @ Houston +18.7 139.3 88% 47–80 ✓
Lipscomb @ LSU +31.5 143.6 91% 60–95 ✓
Boise State @ Washington State +7.2 138.0 71% 58–52 ✗
Alcorn State @ Oklahoma +20.8 138.9 90% 48–72 ✓
Longwood @ Abilene Christian +9.6 144.6 80% 58–74 ✓
North Dakota @ North Dakota State +13.5 138.1 88% 76–86 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +9.5 159.2 82% 76–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha -10.8 153.8 21% 78–84 ✗
Kansas City @ South Dakota +1.8 134.5 56% 68–57 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Duke +7.2 144.4 81% 65–76 ✓
UC San Diego @ San Diego State +12.7 130.1 84% 57–78 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +16.4 145.3 88% 63–88 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +9.3 155.2 82% 59–87 ✓
Bradley @ UTEP -1.6 136.0 38% 73–66 ✓
BYU @ South Florida -13.4 129.2 15% 54–39 ✓
San Diego @ UNLV +3.6 135.3 68% 57–80 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +6.3 132.6 72% 58–75 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Hawai'i -2.0 138.9 39% 68–54 ✓
Wagner @ Fairfield +0.6 134.7 50% 63–50 ✗
Liberty @ Stanford +1.3 135.8 53% 76–79 ✓
Fresno State @ Weber State -0.2 134.1 50% 69–43 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Wyoming +7.6 137.1 77% 69–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.