Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–9 on winners spread MAE 9.0 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina Upstate @ Campbell +4.2 143.8 72% 71–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas +15.8 144.6 88% 64–97 ✓
Colorado @ Stanford -0.9 137.8 47% 69–51 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis +4.2 152.6 64% 70–67 ✗
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut -0.1 135.9 42% 62–46 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +2.6 133.0 62% 60–66 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington -0.6 130.4 49% 63–56 ✓
Troy @ South Alabama +6.3 135.3 75% 70–73 ✓
Weber State @ Montana -3.5 142.6 33% 67–80 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +0.3 149.9 45% 93–77 ✗
Oregon State @ Arizona +11.2 140.9 85% 61–70 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +9.5 139.4 79% 72–66 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Jacksonville State +9.3 142.5 83% 64–76 ✓
Oregon @ Arizona State -2.2 152.0 39% 75–64 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -2.9 130.7 32% 69–63 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech +0.4 138.0 51% 81–63 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee State -8.4 132.5 18% 79–66 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Belmont +11.0 163.1 83% 74–92 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +9.6 130.6 84% 43–69 ✓
USC @ Washington -12.4 144.4 14% 69–54 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +12.7 142.8 86% 66–78 ✓
UCLA @ Washington State -2.7 134.1 43% 73–81 ✗
UIC @ IU Indianapolis +0.3 140.9 54% 69–89 ✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +3.0 136.3 64% 74–67 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +0.7 129.9 49% 71–78 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis +4.2 150.9 68% 66–80 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +2.7 131.6 66% 46–64 ✓
Presbyterian @ Hampton +1.7 135.1 60% 57–62 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +9.2 134.0 82% 67–85 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +4.4 152.1 74% 70–84 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -0.2 147.3 48% 82–86 ✗
Stetson @ Kennesaw State -5.2 133.4 25% 74–61 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +9.4 134.6 76% 69–68 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State +8.8 135.6 79% 60–80 ✓
North Florida @ Liberty +13.7 138.3 87% 61–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall +17.5 138.7 88% 79–107 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +8.3 157.5 84% 66–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.