Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–9 on winners spread MAE 8.3 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ South Florida -10.5 131.0 15% 82–65 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -2.8 133.9 44% 57–49 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -2.1 135.8 42% 76–52 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +14.5 145.7 88% 59–80 ✓
Wake Forest @ Boston College +0.4 144.1 50% 69–65 ✗
Wichita State @ UCF +0.6 147.0 50% 61–60 ✗
Fordham @ George Mason +8.7 128.8 79% 45–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford +5.1 140.0 68% 78–66 ✗
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -4.2 155.0 31% 71–79 ✗
VMI @ Western Carolina -2.1 155.5 44% 72–74 ✗
Rutgers @ Iowa +6.8 150.9 78% 66–79 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin +13.5 146.9 87% 68–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Sam Houston +12.3 144.5 86% 61–79 ✓
Georgia @ Tennessee +11.6 142.3 86% 81–89 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Missouri State +7.9 139.0 78% 53–65 ✓
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +2.5 143.3 55% 68–67 ✗
Houston Christian @ Abilene Christian +19.5 146.3 90% 59–88 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar -8.1 145.9 23% 76–71 ✓
Mercer @ Samford -1.7 156.4 39% 77–70 ✓
Marquette @ Villanova +10.3 141.4 83% 64–96 ✓
Missouri @ Ole Miss +0.1 135.2 50% 59–80 ✓
Rhode Island @ Saint Louis +6.1 141.3 74% 60–67 ✓
LSU @ Mississippi State +2.2 146.3 60% 94–80 ✗
Wisconsin @ Nebraska -9.7 138.0 18% 61–48 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +30.2 147.0 91% 55–77 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood -0.9 133.6 43% 54–57 ✗
UT Martin @ Austin Peay +12.2 143.3 87% 50–71 ✓
Purdue @ Minnesota +1.3 139.2 64% 68–71 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +14.6 147.3 87% 57–84 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +2.6 150.1 65% 72–76 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +10.3 135.3 84% 73–77 ✓
Utah @ California -4.2 134.5 34% 76–75 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford -2.3 145.4 39% 80–64 ✓
Presbyterian @ Hampton +4.0 131.6 62% 85–70 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +8.7 141.9 79% 75–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.