They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
29–7 on winners spread MAE 9.7 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wisconsin @ Marquette +5.8 136.1 65% 65–67 ✓
Bellarmine @ Duke — — — 54–76 —
Jacksonville @ Georgia +4.9 144.0 60% 65–98 ✓
Valparaiso @ Purdue +18.3 141.6 89% 61–68 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida International +10.9 142.2 82% 70–74 ✓
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan -4.3 140.0 36% 91–74 ✓
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin — — — 76–86 —
Central Arkansas @ Memphis — — — 68–85 —
Stetson @ Miami — — — 60–82 —
South Dakota State @ Bradley +7.8 131.9 75% 88–84 ✗
North Texas @ Mississippi State -0.1 134.5 54% 63–69 ✗
Troy @ Texas Tech +21.4 131.6 89% 46–80 ✓
Seton Hall @ Oregon -5.2 144.2 28% 70–83 ✗
San Francisco @ Cal Poly — — — 88–60 —
North Dakota @ Minnesota +10.7 149.1 83% 67–76 ✓
South Alabama @ Auburn +8.1 148.2 77% 81–90 ✓
Long Beach State @ Loyola Marymount — — — 61–85 —
Idaho @ Sacramento State +17.5 134.6 87% 57–73 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Chattanooga +12.7 135.0 86% 72–79 ✓
Coppin State @ George Washington +6.5 147.8 76% 69–85 ✓
Furman @ Charleston -1.5 142.8 50% 81–57 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Arizona +12.0 140.9 82% 67–70 ✓
Marist @ Binghamton — — — 68–65 —
UIC @ Ball State +2.1 137.3 60% 66–68 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ VCU +8.1 139.1 78% 42–60 ✓
SMU @ Dayton -2.7 145.3 33% 66–64 ✓
North Florida @ High Point +10.8 141.9 83% 74–85 ✓
South Carolina State @ UNC Asheville +10.1 144.8 81% 56–77 ✓
Radford @ East Carolina +10.3 129.3 80% 50–63 ✓
Montana @ Southern Utah +3.8 139.5 68% 74–75 ✓
Omaha @ SIU Edwardsville +8.9 142.7 79% 65–63 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Green Bay -2.9 141.8 25% 93–91 ✓
Lamar @ Air Force +7.8 131.4 75% 44–59 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas State +12.1 141.0 85% 64–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas +12.1 139.2 86% 61–65 ✓
Iona @ Hofstra +9.8 132.6 78% 82–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Wright State -4.4 143.4 42% 47–71 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Providence +10.0 147.0 80% 67–79 ✓
Chicago State @ Northwestern +33.2 139.1 91% 66–111 ✓
Lipscomb @ Arkansas +20.4 147.0 89% 50–86 ✓
Samford @ Belmont +17.6 149.6 80% 96–83 ✗
South Carolina @ Houston +22.8 131.1 89% 67–77 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +1.2 150.1 62% 65–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Carolina Upstate — — — 72–69 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.