I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–3 on winners spread MAE 11.3 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ USC +3.1 148.0 63% 61–58 ✗
Saint Francis @ Liberty +10.6 140.7 84% 62–78 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ The Citadel — — — 70–78 —
Marshall @ Wright State — — — 80–64 —
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech — — — 62–78 —
Western Illinois @ Iowa — — — 58–99 —
VMI @ Virginia Tech +16.0 149.2 86% 57–64 ✓
Niagara @ Syracuse — — — 45–75 —
Omaha @ Drake +17.5 138.0 88% 66–87 ✓
Seattle U @ UCLA +3.4 147.3 58% 52–78 ✓
UTSA @ Oklahoma — — — 66–105 —
Northwestern State @ TCU +16.2 136.9 88% 68–74 ✓
Montana @ Southern Utah +5.8 145.1 77% 63–64 ✓
Idaho @ Sacramento State — — — 55–77 —
Florida @ Boston College -1.9 145.3 42% 90–70 ✓
Arizona State @ California +1.5 142.6 51% 70–62 ✗
Texas Southern @ Saint Mary's +5.6 131.3 74% 70–82 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Maryland +12.6 139.5 83% 57–90 ✓
Fairfield @ Stony Brook +16.4 145.7 90% 69–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State — — — 76–83 —
Kennesaw State @ Creighton +15.4 138.3 87% 58–93 ✓
UT Arlington @ Tulsa +0.9 138.0 58% 64–79 ✓
SE Louisiana @ California Baptist +4.3 149.6 75% 66–83 ✓
Kent State @ Virginia — — — 64–71 —
Central Connecticut @ Hartford +9.2 137.6 80% 65–80 ✓
Georgia State @ Charlotte +0.1 147.6 40% 76–65 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.