Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–12 on winners spread MAE 12.7 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Gonzaga -0.6 151.7 55% 82–87 ✗
Ball State @ Michigan +7.2 150.4 69% 65–84 ✓
Hartford @ Fairfield +2.1 139.2 34% 66–61 ✗
South Dakota State @ Iowa State +5.4 142.3 67% 71–68 ✗
Presbyterian @ Jacksonville — — — 65–78 —
Oral Roberts @ Wichita State — — — 80–85 —
Tarleton State @ Texas A&M — — — 66–73 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Northern Illinois +4.4 141.4 57% 73–53 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Xavier +18.3 144.1 88% 48–79 ✓
Providence @ Alabama -1.6 144.1 48% 71–88 ✗
Seton Hall @ Rhode Island +2.9 150.9 64% 63–76 ✓
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee — — — 61–78 —
Southern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State — — — 87–79 —
Drexel @ Quinnipiac +4.7 140.6 58% 66–48 ✗
Kennesaw State @ UAB — — — 48–73 —
North Florida @ Florida State — — — 58–86 —
Evansville @ UT Martin — — — 87–93 —
Houston Christian @ SMU +21.2 149.4 89% 75–102 ✓
Old Dominion @ Norfolk State +12.0 145.2 81% 80–66 ✗
Arkansas State @ Memphis +10.6 135.9 85% 54–83 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +14.2 142.0 86% 59–62 ✓
Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +4.1 147.9 38% 66–63 ✗
Missouri @ Oregon — — — 83–75 —
North Dakota @ Utah Tech — — — 73–74 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Northwestern — — — 49–92 —
San Francisco @ Nevada +13.9 131.4 80% 85–60 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Wyoming +13.5 139.0 84% 83–94 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arkansas +23.9 150.3 91% 60–72 ✓
Davidson @ UNLV -11.7 144.7 16% 77–73 ✓
Illinois @ Baylor -2.2 162.4 43% 69–82 ✗
SE Louisiana @ California Baptist +13.1 146.8 79% 81–80 ✗
Oregon State @ Washington State +4.3 131.5 74% 55–59 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Santa Clara — — — 47–53 —
Quinnipiac @ Drexel -4.5 140.8 47% 58–70 ✗
Chicago State @ Eastern Illinois +17.9 129.8 90% 56–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Little Rock -1.5 139.5 48% 80–75 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NC State +6.8 144.6 75% 59–90 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Northern Kentucky +9.2 140.3 79% 65–74 ✓
Washington @ Utah — — — 62–76 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.