Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 7.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -2.1 138.4 41% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +4.7 142.1 73% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +4.3 140.7 71% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +7.9 152.4 80% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +4.8 134.2 69% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +4.6 152.4 75% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -1.1 134.0 50% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +3.2 139.9 66% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +2.8 144.0 63% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +7.1 147.4 78% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.8 155.7 69% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +14.5 141.8 88% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.1 143.9 40% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -2.0 146.1 42% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +11.3 160.8 83% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -5.2 136.8 31% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +4.4 153.2 72% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +15.2 163.6 88% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State -0.8 136.3 47% 69–72 ✗
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -1.6 142.0 45% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -4.8 148.5 35% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +1.2 147.9 59% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -0.7 145.6 54% 85–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +3.8 138.3 69% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +5.9 153.0 70% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -1.7 150.0 47% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +2.7 132.0 67% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +17.4 157.4 89% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +9.4 158.2 83% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.6 146.7 70% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +15.0 157.1 87% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.4 138.3 50% 61–67 ✗
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +1.5 138.8 56% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +8.0 141.0 83% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +3.5 160.3 71% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -1.5 132.9 46% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +10.3 141.1 84% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +22.3 147.7 91% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +4.7 142.1 74% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +15.6 147.5 88% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +10.9 157.8 83% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +2.2 144.4 63% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +9.4 129.7 84% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.