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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–8 on winners spread MAE 9.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Michigan +18.8 155.6 88% 72–86 ✓
UCF @ Iowa State +13.3 150.0 86% 57–87 ✓
LSU @ Florida +12.1 154.2 84% 61–79 ✓
NC State @ Clemson +3.4 140.8 70% 80–76 ✗
Saint Louis @ Duquesne -13.5 158.8 13% 81–77 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State -6.6 163.6 35% 107–101 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ St. Bonaventure +12.3 145.5 87% 70–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +9.4 139.8 83% 60–65 ✓
Florida State @ Miami +13.9 157.8 88% 65–63 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +9.0 146.0 79% 77–80 ✓
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan -3.8 151.0 36% 72–54 ✓
Ball State @ Central Michigan +0.4 137.8 48% 68–67 ✗
Oklahoma @ South Carolina +0.8 149.9 55% 76–85 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +9.8 145.5 80% 80–87 ✓
Evansville @ UIC +8.9 134.1 83% 49–76 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +6.0 157.1 73% 65–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Iowa +17.3 139.2 90% 62–68 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming +3.0 145.2 64% 81–65 ✗
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State -1.5 137.2 39% 50–66 ✗
Michigan State @ Oregon -9.0 135.2 17% 68–52 ✓
Texas Tech @ Baylor -0.4 151.5 41% 92–73 ✓
Georgia @ Missouri -4.2 159.0 37% 74–72 ✓
Utah @ Kansas State +6.7 162.1 74% 78–81 ✓
SMU @ Wake Forest -1.1 152.9 51% 91–79 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +17.9 133.2 90% 52–81 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -3.3 153.5 43% 78–66 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arkansas +1.0 172.1 48% 68–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -5.5 139.3 37% 67–69 ✗
San José State @ Nevada +12.5 139.1 86% 54–87 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +17.2 155.4 89% 86–76 ✗
Kansas @ Colorado -6.3 151.5 28% 75–69 ✓
Lafayette @ Boston University +4.1 143.8 68% 73–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate -0.3 142.0 48% 83–69 ✓
Samford @ Wofford +5.5 150.5 77% 78–88 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -1.8 146.3 45% 85–78 ✓
Dayton @ La Salle -8.2 136.0 22% 64–67 ✗
Radford @ Winthrop +11.9 158.2 86% 75–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.