I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–12 on winners spread MAE 8.9 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Penn State -18.3 159.8 12% 74–72 ✓
Duke @ Louisville +3.2 157.4 59% 84–73 ✗
Georgia @ Florida +3.5 165.2 59% 77–92 ✓
Cincinnati @ West Virginia +3.3 136.2 60% 60–62 ✓
St. John's @ Butler +1.5 156.7 61% 84–70 ✗
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech +0.8 142.7 55% 82–72 ✗
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +16.0 156.5 88% 76–87 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State -4.3 134.7 32% 74–52 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +22.9 159.3 90% 69–82 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kent State -1.9 154.6 43% 93–96 ✗
South Carolina @ LSU +12.1 148.9 84% 78–68 ✗
Iowa @ Minnesota -5.9 129.8 21% 67–70 ✗
UCF @ Oklahoma State +0.3 160.0 50% 76–87 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +2.1 149.4 62% 72–79 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul +4.3 144.5 65% 50–56 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -5.1 148.9 32% 75–61 ✓
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville -0.3 143.0 47% 62–66 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +4.1 141.4 68% 65–69 ✓
Texas @ Tennessee +10.7 151.6 84% 71–85 ✓
TCU @ Kansas +8.2 137.3 73% 100–104 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +0.3 139.3 41% 80–70 ✗
UCLA @ Wisconsin +1.6 149.2 55% 72–80 ✓
NC State @ Boston College -9.9 139.6 18% 79–71 ✓
Utah State @ Air Force -19.9 133.9 12% 99–62 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +5.4 167.8 59% 90–88 ✗
UNLV @ Wyoming +10.4 152.1 83% 66–98 ✓
Fresno State @ San José State +1.2 141.0 54% 70–55 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +3.0 147.8 68% 73–68 ✗
Furman @ Chattanooga -4.1 141.1 33% 78–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +0.5 133.4 54% 58–66 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +5.7 147.7 70% 84–76 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +7.7 148.7 77% 85–97 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland -11.0 146.5 19% 84–66 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +3.0 144.0 59% 61–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +3.9 162.3 72% 77–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.