Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–15 on winners spread MAE 9.7 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina @ Grand Canyon +3.2 150.7 61% 75–68 ✗
Xavier @ Saint Mary's -9.7 130.2 19% 66–49 ✓
Florida International @ Akron +8.6 146.9 78% 71–77 ✓
Brown @ USC +15.2 147.9 92% 70–81 ✓
Southern @ Illinois +10.4 151.2 83% 60–88 ✓
Cal Poly @ California Baptist +10.8 137.7 84% 58–67 ✓
UCF @ South Dakota State -13.8 146.2 10% 83–80 ✓
Kent State @ Missouri State -4.3 154.8 35% 52–56 ✗
Saint Louis @ Wichita State +5.6 142.5 70% 69–88 ✓
Dayton @ Houston +13.1 132.2 88% 55–69 ✓
Washington @ San Diego State +7.6 148.1 75% 97–100 ✓
Le Moyne @ UC Santa Barbara +14.5 159.8 91% 72–96 ✓
High Point @ Iona +0.7 163.4 52% 82–68 ✗
Oakland @ Loyola Marymount -1.6 154.1 44% 74–69 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Southern Miss +4.9 127.4 67% 74–67 ✗
Siena @ Central Michigan +8.5 143.7 78% 56–70 ✓
Norfolk State @ Florida Gulf Coast +9.6 144.9 81% 69–66 ✗
Murray State @ UNC Wilmington +15.8 153.8 92% 81–83 ✓
Drake @ Stephen F. Austin +2.4 155.4 59% 68–92 ✓
Illinois State @ Long Beach State +12.0 151.3 86% 61–52 ✗
Milwaukee @ Stetson -2.3 149.9 42% 67–85 ✗
Cornell @ Utah Valley -5.9 159.2 30% 74–61 ✓
Tennessee @ Syracuse -12.7 151.5 12% 73–56 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Bakersfield -4.2 140.0 35% 71–75 ✗
Northeastern @ Kennesaw State -6.7 160.8 27% 77–79 ✗
San José State @ Hampton -10.9 144.9 16% 71–52 ✓
The Citadel @ Idaho State +3.9 129.4 64% 62–61 ✗
Indiana @ Louisville +0.3 147.2 51% 74–66 ✗
Purdue @ Gonzaga -10.0 151.1 18% 73–63 ✓
Wright State @ Louisiana +6.1 164.5 71% 91–85 ✗
Marshall @ Florida International +1.4 150.2 55% 80–69 ✗
Tarleton State @ Austin Peay -4.6 134.1 34% 66–59 ✓
Florida State @ UNLV -1.9 145.2 43% 83–75 ✓
Fordham @ Kent State +13.7 148.9 89% 72–79 ✓
Wisconsin @ Virginia +10.8 133.1 84% 65–41 ✗
South Dakota State @ George Mason +11.1 141.5 84% 71–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ East Carolina +12.6 163.2 87% 64–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Bellarmine +11.2 148.8 85% 64–51 ✗
Rider @ Stony Brook +5.4 143.1 69% 48–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.