This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 9.8 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
San Diego @ UC Irvine +2.7 132.2 60% 53–85 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.0 132.7 74% 63–61 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Florida International +16.8 149.7 94% 103–99 ✗
Iona @ Rider -2.8 139.0 40% 72–64 ✓
Oakland @ UIC +15.5 140.4 92% 72–74 ✓
Arizona @ Stanford +4.8 136.5 67% 75–78 ✓
McNeese @ Louisiana +20.4 154.5 97% 65–75 ✓
Cincinnati @ Georgia +7.9 142.7 77% 68–83 ✓
Radford @ Vanderbilt +9.3 120.3 80% 50–59 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bradley +14.0 124.6 90% 68–69 ✓
Colorado State @ Saint Mary's +4.2 137.6 65% 33–53 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Villanova +20.1 166.9 97% 68–88 ✓
UCF @ Florida State +16.1 129.7 93% 86–74 ✗
Cal Poly @ Loyola Marymount +18.0 138.2 95% 52–76 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +0.6 155.3 52% 76–74 ✗
Illinois @ Rutgers -1.4 149.3 45% 88–91 ✗
Jackson State @ Iowa State +15.0 142.3 91% 45–60 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas +12.1 142.5 86% 74–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Old Dominion +0.3 142.5 51% 62–66 ✓
Robert Morris @ Marshall +25.6 146.3 99% 71–85 ✓
Marist @ Manhattan -10.7 124.4 17% 72–67 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Arkansas +22.7 152.9 98% 76–87 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -5.9 148.6 30% 74–62 ✓
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -8.5 142.3 22% 85–72 ✓
Stony Brook @ Binghamton -0.9 141.1 47% 80–70 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany -0.8 133.5 47% 65–60 ✓
Maine @ Hartford +1.2 128.1 54% 50–65 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier +8.7 141.2 78% 88–91 ✓
Chicago State @ Drake +37.8 134.0 100% 67–111 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky +5.6 145.3 69% 70–60 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -15.4 150.7 8% 72–74 ✗
Alcorn State @ Houston +35.9 140.7 100% 55–88 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall +11.8 150.8 86% 80–77 ✗
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.0 132.7 74% 89–80 ✗
Oakland @ UIC +15.5 140.4 92% 73–90 ✓
Western Illinois @ UT Martin +11.9 154.6 86% 81–63 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +14.9 126.5 91% 68–66 ✗
Delaware State @ Georgia Tech +30.7 168.0 100% 69–97 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +5.8 162.1 70% 83–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.