Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | PRST +165 WEB -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -16.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -11.2 (+13.2) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -9.6 (+11.6) | 145.4 (+0.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -11.1 (+13.1) | 153.8 (-7.8) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -10.5 (+12.5) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 17-6 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-0 |
| Away | 2-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#305) | 9.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#286) | 0.70 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.07 (#309) | 0.68 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.303 (#320) | 0.493 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 21.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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