Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -280 OKST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -11.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -8.8 (-5.8) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -7.5 (-4.5) | 141.4 (+9.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -7.7 (-4.7) | 144.3 (+6.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -8.6 (-5.6) | 139.7 (+11.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-2 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#28) | 5.8 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#24) | 1.89 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#29) | 3.39 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.675 (#18) | 0.556 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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