Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | STAN -135 ARIZ +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -5.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -3.6 (-0.6) | 138.8 (+14.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -2.0 (+1.0) | 137.8 (+15.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -2.8 (+0.2) | 139.1 (+13.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -3.3 (-0.3) | 137.0 (+16.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#42) | 9.3 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#90) | 2.39 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#77) | 3.53 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#86) | 0.576 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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