Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -170 YSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -5.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.9 (-13.9) | 144.4 (-14.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -4.3 (-14.3) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.5 (-13.5) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -5.2 (-15.2) | 144.7 (-14.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#151) | -0.5 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#129) | -0.41 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#138) | -1.05 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#77) | 0.391 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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