Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -2.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -2.2 (+0.8) | 147.8 (+31.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -0.4 (+2.6) | 155.1 (+23.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -0.9 (+2.1) | 154.1 (+24.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -0.5 (+2.5) | 151.8 (+27.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | ILL 81 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RUTG 82 – 73 ILL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ILL 86 – 63 RUTG |
| Dec 2, 2023 | ILL 76 – 58 RUTG |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ILL 69 – 60 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 16-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#20) | 20.6 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#2) | 2.38 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.44 (#2) | 4.00 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.729 (#6) | 0.627 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 53.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 43.2% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 44.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 60.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 80.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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