Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -190 GASO +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +4 | 202 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -15.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+51.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -12.9 (-16.9) | 148.3 (+53.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -12.0 (-16.0) | 149.0 (+53.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -12.9 (-16.9) | 148.1 (+53.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -12.9 (-16.9) | 147.4 (+54.6) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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