Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -20.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ARK -4000 ORU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | ARK -23.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -25.8 (-14.8) | 157.1 (+5.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ARK -19.2 (-8.2) | 158.1 (+4.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ARK -21.6 (-10.6) | 154.2 (+8.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARK -22.9 (-11.9) | 153.3 (+9.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 27, 2021 | ARK 72 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#6) | -0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#75) | -1.28 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#85) | -1.48 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#161) | 0.491 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.