Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RID +160 IONA -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -2.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.4 (-6.6) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -2.3 (-5.7) | 132.9 (+3.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -2.3 (-5.7) | 139.0 (-3.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -1.7 (-6.3) | 139.1 (-3.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-3 |
| Home | 1-8 | 4-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#268) | -0.3 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#279) | -0.22 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#285) | -0.39 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#273) | 0.415 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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