Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -1800 CP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +24 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -18.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -14.0 (+10.0) | 138.2 (-10.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -14.1 (+9.9) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -13.5 (+10.5) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -14.1 (+9.9) | 139.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 4-20 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 1-15 |
| Home | 8-3 | 3-8 |
| Away | 4-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 59.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#156) | -13.9 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#91) | -2.38 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#100) | -3.96 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#66) | 0.332 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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