Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -800 M-OH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -15.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -11.9 (-10.9) | 132.8 (+4.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -11.3 (-10.3) | 135.9 (+1.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -11.7 (-10.7) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -12.2 (-11.2) | 132.6 (+4.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#98) | -6.9 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#119) | -1.19 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#147) | -1.66 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#146) | 0.377 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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