Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | UTM -190 WIU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +18 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -12.7 (-30.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -11.0 (-29.0) | 150.8 (-6.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.0 (-27.0) | 153.9 (-9.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -11.1 (-29.1) | 155.2 (-11.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -10.3 (-28.3) | 151.3 (-7.3) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UTM 84 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTM 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTM 85 – 83 WIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTM 62 – 59 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 2-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#188) | -9.7 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#62) | -3.43 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#90) | -5.08 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#51) | 0.300 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 44.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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