We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 10.6 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ High Point +15.5 149.5 86% 80–91 ✓
Morehead State @ UL Monroe -0.2 148.2 47% 83–80 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ North Dakota -5.1 140.0 39% 75–58 ✓
VMI @ Stetson +3.2 147.3 62% 80–99 ✓
Ball State @ Indiana State +11.2 142.5 82% 52–70 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wichita State +15.3 152.4 88% 58–75 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Richmond +19.3 152.6 90% 67–102 ✓
Coppin State @ VCU +27.0 146.3 91% 58–101 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Portland -3.4 149.5 47% 86–80 ✓
North Florida @ Southern Miss +6.9 153.6 80% 83–92 ✓
UT Arlington @ Weber State +2.0 145.4 61% 74–73 ✗
Northern Iowa @ UC Irvine -2.2 133.0 36% 70–69 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia +2.9 152.1 56% 97–94 ✗
Alabama State @ SIU Edwardsville -1.1 135.4 41% 68–83 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Miami (OH) +19.2 150.3 90% 84–111 ✓
Binghamton @ Canisius +2.2 127.4 52% 66–75 ✓
Delaware State @ Miami +24.7 141.5 90% 41–97 ✓
South Carolina State @ South Dakota +12.3 150.3 88% 81–82 ✓
Old Dominion @ Drexel +5.1 139.4 69% 71–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Oklahoma +24.4 152.8 91% 53–72 ✓
West Georgia @ Georgia Tech +11.1 137.4 84% 66–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Central Arkansas -6.9 146.1 24% 65–92 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Northern Colorado +12.2 157.9 85% 93–97 ✓
Brown @ Maine +4.5 130.5 62% 58–53 ✗
Longwood @ Columbia +9.1 145.6 80% 70–95 ✓
Butler @ Virginia +2.8 148.4 52% 80–73 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ North Florida +1.6 149.7 49% 85–82 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Delaware -1.1 158.3 50% 79–59 ✓
Robert Morris @ Monmouth +2.1 141.1 66% 70–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Western Michigan +4.3 145.8 68% 60–83 ✓
West Virginia @ Xavier -3.2 130.7 40% 68–78 ✗
Howard @ Duke +27.6 147.1 91% 56–93 ✓
Lamar @ Montana +3.3 147.0 66% 68–63 ✗
UL Monroe @ East Tennessee State +14.0 141.9 87% 55–97 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Portland -0.5 143.4 46% 76–66 ✓
Norfolk State @ Wyoming +11.1 134.8 84% 67–75 ✓
South Carolina @ Northwestern +6.0 147.5 74% 77–79 ✓
Queens University @ Furman +2.5 143.7 59% 79–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Air Force +4.8 153.6 74% 85–98 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Pittsburgh +13.0 138.2 86% 83–75 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Illinois State +3.1 139.9 69% 42–94 ✓
McNeese @ George Washington +8.9 146.4 84% 92–86 ✗
UT Martin @ Southern Miss -0.6 143.0 56% 60–70 ✗
Yale @ Charleston -11.3 147.2 18% 74–63 ✓
Youngstown State @ UNC Greensboro -5.6 153.3 38% 62–68 ✗
Bryant @ UConn +24.4 136.2 91% 49–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ DePaul +16.2 150.2 89% 75–95 ✓
Tulane @ Boston College +7.2 136.9 79% 93–90 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.