Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -145 UTA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -5.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -2.0 (-3.0) | 145.4 (+1.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -3.8 (-4.8) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -4.0 (-5.0) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -4.1 (-5.1) | 143.9 (+3.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#181) | 0.1 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#211) | 0.16 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#186) | 0.56 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#247) | 0.471 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 26.3% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.7% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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