Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NU -215 SC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NU -7.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.0 (-4.0) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -6.9 (-4.9) | 143.2 (+12.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.5 (-4.5) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -7.0 (-5.0) | 146.1 (+9.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 11-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#30) | 5.5 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#72) | 0.43 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#92) | 0.64 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#56) | 0.518 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 2.14 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.