Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | CAN -135 BING +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -4.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.2 (+6.8) | 127.4 (+13.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -3.8 (+5.2) | 132.5 (+8.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -5.1 (+3.9) | 133.1 (+7.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -2.9 (+6.1) | 126.3 (+14.7) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#354) | -12.4 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#136) | -3.83 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#169) | -6.26 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#98) | 0.355 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 12.1% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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