Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GT -5000 WGA +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GT -11.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -11.1 (+4.9) | 137.4 (+10.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -8.6 (+7.4) | 133.5 (+14.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -9.1 (+6.9) | 133.8 (+14.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -9.4 (+6.6) | 137.1 (+10.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2024 | GT 85 – 62 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 80.5 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | -3.5 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#94) | 1.91 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#126) | 2.42 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#144) | 0.538 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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