Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -6000 DETM +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +20 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -18.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -16.2 (+3.8) | 150.2 (+19.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -15.5 (+4.5) | 144.3 (+25.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -17.7 (+2.3) | 145.2 (+24.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -17.6 (+2.4) | 147.6 (+22.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#145) | -10.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#268) | -3.48 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#253) | -6.04 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#277) | 0.409 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.