Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -700 MILW +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +17 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -21.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.2 (-31.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -23.0 (-6.0) | 152.3 (-19.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -15.3 (+1.7) | 152.4 (-19.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -19.5 (-2.5) | 152.1 (-19.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -22.1 (-5.1) | 152.5 (-19.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#49) | -4.4 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#143) | -0.09 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#137) | -0.22 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#167) | 0.480 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 41.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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