Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -170 ODU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -4.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -3.9 (+0.1) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -5.1 (-1.1) | 139.4 (+6.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -3.5 (+0.5) | 141.9 (+4.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -3.6 (+0.4) | 142.9 (+3.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | ODU 68 – 61 DREX |
| Nov 12, 2022 | DREX 71 – 59 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#258) | -3.4 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#292) | -0.66 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#267) | -1.30 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#334) | 0.493 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.3% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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