Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -1800 SCST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -19.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -15.7 (-14.7) | 149.4 (+13.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SDAK -12.3 (-11.3) | 150.3 (+12.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SDAK -13.3 (-12.3) | 145.3 (+17.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -15.3 (-14.3) | 147.7 (+15.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#280) | -19.7 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#299) | -3.09 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#286) | -4.67 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#288) | 0.332 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 33.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 39.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 41.8% |
Game Analysis
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