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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
26–7 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
33 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+6.2 | 140.0 | 80% | 57–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 130.3 | 67% | 69–65 | ✗ |
|
|
-7.1 | 144.0 | 24% | 74–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 137.4 | 60% | 72–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.9 | 135.5 | 88% | 71–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.4 | 138.4 | 61% | 67–56 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.7 | 138.4 | 28% | 78–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.5 | 134.4 | 27% | 82–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.5 | 152.0 | 77% | 63–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.4 | 139.9 | 35% | 74–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 153.3 | 36% | 80–91 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.6 | 146.5 | 60% | 79–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 146.9 | 63% | 71–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 127.4 | 80% | 73–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.5 | 128.6 | 77% | 50–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.9 | 142.1 | 35% | 76–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.0 | 134.2 | 26% | 76–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 135.7 | 65% | 67–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 137.1 | 54% | 54–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.7 | 141.8 | 17% | 66–51 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.5 | 134.2 | 85% | 75–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.9 | 133.2 | 90% | 68–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 132.8 | 72% | 58–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.5 | 131.4 | 40% | 82–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.1 | 140.3 | 36% | 65–75 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.0 | 136.9 | 44% | 76–50 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.9 | 133.4 | 78% | 85–74 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.9 | 126.2 | 64% | 64–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.9 | 146.7 | 88% | 63–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.9 | 136.9 | 80% | 65–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.3 | 134.0 | 55% | 60–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 137.0 | 68% | 65–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.6 | 130.4 | 42% | 50–58 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.