Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -9.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -8.0 (+4.0) | 154.9 (-16.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -7.5 (+4.5) | 152.0 (-14.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -9.2 (+2.8) | 153.5 (-15.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -8.4 (+3.6) | 151.5 (-13.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | KENT 87 – 84 TOL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KENT 105 – 65 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-1 |
| Away | 9-6 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 84.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#50) | 4.2 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#28) | 0.47 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#27) | 0.67 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#53) | 0.526 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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