Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA +150 TEM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -2.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -3.6 (-0.4) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.9 (-1.1) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -3.4 (-0.6) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.0 (-0.0) | 144.5 (+3.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#290) | 0.6 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#293) | 0.05 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#278) | 0.11 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#302) | 0.518 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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