Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WMU -125 EMU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -4.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -1.2 (+4.8) | 148.4 (+15.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -2.6 (+3.4) | 146.5 (+17.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -1.5 (+4.5) | 149.6 (+14.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -1.6 (+4.4) | 149.2 (+14.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#306) | -8.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#353) | -1.63 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#353) | -2.07 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#303) | 0.402 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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