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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.0
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-4.3 | 149.1 | 27% | 77–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.4 | 133.3 | 87% | 70–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.8 | 152.2 | 30% | 64–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 136.0 | 61% | 73–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.7 | 136.0 | 15% | 78–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 155.7 | 68% | 75–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 143.6 | 64% | 64–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.0 | 135.3 | 19% | 67–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+14.8 | 127.8 | 89% | 57–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.5 | 147.9 | 85% | 75–102 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.6 | 137.4 | 46% | 55–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.0 | 144.9 | 63% | 61–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.