Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +270 COLG -345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -3.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -2.3 (+0.3) | 151.7 (+0.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -4.3 (+2.3) | 149.1 (+2.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -1.7 (-0.3) | 156.2 (-4.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -1.5 (-0.5) | 157.2 (-5.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#240) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#282) | -0.11 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#283) | 0.25 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#303) | 0.491 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 42.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 59.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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