Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +700 NORF -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -7.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -10.2 (-2.8) | 134.4 (+8.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -9.7 (-3.3) | 136.0 (+7.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.9 (-4.1) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -9.6 (-3.4) | 137.5 (+5.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#354) | -2.5 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#361) | 0.86 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.40 (#361) | 0.91 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#350) | 0.545 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 25.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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