Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -1.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -1.5 (+14.5) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -3.0 (+13.0) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.4 (+14.6) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -1.5 (+14.5) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SJU 92 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SJU 84 – 70 BTLR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SJU 78 – 57 BTLR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SJU 76 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 62 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#92) | 7.7 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#88) | 1.27 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#88) | 1.64 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#130) | 0.551 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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