Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -1200 FAMU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +5 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -20.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -15.2 (-10.2) | 131.9 (-12.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -14.8 (-9.8) | 127.8 (-8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -14.3 (-9.3) | 133.7 (-14.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -14.8 (-9.8) | 134.3 (-15.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 4-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#184) | -16.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | -3.86 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#131) | -5.12 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#165) | 0.375 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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