Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | UAPB +143 PV -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | PV -2.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -2.4 (+10.4) | 139.1 (-21.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -2.6 (+10.6) | 137.4 (-19.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -2.5 (+10.5) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -2.9 (+10.9) | 137.8 (-19.8) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 82 PV |
| Jan 13, 2026 | PV 73 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UAPB 75 – 64 PV |
| Jan 13, 2025 | PV 75 – 64 UAPB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UAPB 72 – 59 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#339) | -4.5 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#345) | -0.84 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#351) | -0.90 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#328) | 0.461 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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