Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -220 OKST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -6.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -6.2 (+1.8) | 141.8 (-19.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -6.2 (+1.8) | 140.0 (-18.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -7.3 (+0.7) | 142.6 (-20.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -6.8 (+1.2) | 144.2 (-22.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#14) | 11.1 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#3) | 1.24 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#6) | 2.06 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#8) | 0.567 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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